The Paradox Portal
Psychological/Decision

Wisdom of Crowds Paradox

Groups can be smarter or dumber than individuals

Overview

The observation that groups can make better predictions than experts, yet also fall victim to groupthink.

Aggregating independent judgments often produces accurate predictions (like estimating a jar of jellybeans). Yet groups can also amplify biases and make terrible decisions (groupthink, herd behavior). Groups can be wise or foolish.

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